You can read this on Medium as well: Link To Medium
I recently came across on Whatsapp a conspiracy theory on the role of China in the Corona Virus pandemic. The full text of the conspiracy theory is given after my response (without credits as the author of the conspiracy theory is unknown).
Well, the first thing you should do when you come across any conspiracy theory is read this article on Ars Technica: https://arstechnica.com/science/2016/02/large-scale-conspiracies-are-mathematically-impossible-to-keep-quiet/
Or this one on Oxford University website saying almost the same thing: http://www.ox.ac.uk/news/2016-01-26-too-many-minions-spoil-plot
TL;DR: Research by David Robert Grimes, a physicist at Oxford University, says that it’s mathematically impossible to sustain a large scale conspiracy. Repeat, a large conspiracy theory. If you want your conspiracy to succeed in its goals, you better keep it small —its knowledge limited to a rather small number of people.
So what’s the relevance here?
As I have already expressed on my Twitter and elsewhere, I detest Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and its propagandists (not the ordinary Chinese). They seem to be authoritarian, highly ethnocentric and possess a scarcity oriented worldview (similar to Mr. Trump) resulting in continuous geo-political war games with countries they view as their competition. Such war games are a typical example of a Prisoner’s Dilemma (from a , game-theoretic perspective) and are value-destroying and harmful to the world. A scarcity mentality always does that.
Yet regardless of the worldview the Chinese govt possesses, no group of mortals has the capability to keep secret such large scale conspiracies as one that is given below (as the Ars Technica article explains, it’s almost impossible statistically).
I agree with the basic thrust of the conspiracy theory that China may ultimately benefit from Corona Virus disaster. But it won’t be because of some super-villainous, Moriartisque world-dominating stratagem by the CCP; it would be because of the utter incompetence, stupidity and greed of Trump and his cohorts who had ample time to proactively tackle the epidemic, but refused to do so till it exploded beyond control.
Even now, astonishingly they are thinking of scaling down the Corona lockdown and are ‘willing to sacrifice’ their old people to help the economy. The idiots don’t understand that your economy will anyway fail if your medical system is overwhelmed and your people are dying like fleas on streets.
One of the big supporters of Trump is a large Christian fundamentalist University called Liberty University. They have said they are going to start their classes soon.
One can only imagine what will happen then. Is that on China?
Contrast that with today’s decision by the Modi Govt in India: an almost complete lockdown of the country. It’s absolutely necessary and what the US (and other countries) should have done as soon as their cases reached the scale India is at now or even earlier.
(By the way, if you go through my Twitter, you will find I am no fan of Modi Govt either. Just that Modi Govt was proactive this time and took the right decision swiftly unlike their perhaps carefully chosen somnolent state during the Delhi riots).
And Trump and his advisors were repeatedly made aware of this since at least mid-Jan by scientists, epidemiologists, media people, Hollywood celebrities, politicians belonging to the rival party, and even technologists including some of the leading voices of Silicon Valley. I know this because being a fintech startup founder, I follow many of the SV opinion leaders on Twitter including people like Balaji Srinivasan, Paul Graham, Naval Ravikant etc. And I myself have been tweeting about the epidemic since then.
But Trump and his minions ignored the experts repeatedly, even mocked them.
So now the only defence they can think of are such ridiculous conspiracy theories!
Worse, such conspiracy theories are going to help CCP because obviously people on the left and centre would come to their defence and ridicule such theories as Trump’s twitter feed is evidence enough what happened. And that would provide cover to CCP and its propagandists to escape well-deserved criticism and censure for their role in trying to cover up and minimize the scale and severity of the Corona epidemic and let millions of people fly out of China which ultimately resulted in its morphing into a pandemic and a disaster.
Let’s not give CCP that cover.
Which reminds me that CCP tried a cover-up even during the SARS epidemic of 2002-2004. (https://www.thelancet.com/pdfs/journals/lancet/PIIS0140673603130978.pdf). They even later apologized for doing so.
Still, they did it again. Guess old habits die hard.
Anyway, before I end this blog with the text of the actual conspiracy theory (read it, it’s quite wild), let me repeat the second of the two key assertions of this blog.
Which is never believe a large scale conspiracy, or even attempt one 🙂
If you ever start a conspiracy, keep the number of people who are aware of it small if you want it to succeed 🙂
Or start a religion. The only conspiracy that succeeds at a country or a planet level scale is religious nonsense 🙂
And now the full text of the conspiracy theory to which this blog was a rebuttal.
WELL PLAYED CHINA….
SCENE 1 :
The curtain opens: China becomes ill, enters a “crisis” and paralyzes its trade. The curtain closes.
The curtain opens: The Chinese currency is devalued. They do not do anything. The curtain closes.
The curtain opens:: Due to the lack of trade of companies from Europe and the USA that are based in China, their shares fall 40% of their value.
The curtain opens:: The world is ill, China buys 30% of the shares of companies in Europe and the US at a very low price. The curtain closes.
The curtain opens: China has controlled the disease and owns companies in Europe and the US. And he decides that these companies stay in China and earn $ 20,000Billions. The curtain closes. How is the play called?
ReAmazing but true
Two videos have passed between yesterday and today that convinced me of something I suspected, but had no basis. It was just my speculation. Now I am convinced that the coronavirus was purposely propagated by the Chinese themselves.
At first they were too prepared. Three weeks after the start of the roll, 14 days and a 12,000-bed hospitals were already under construction. And they really built them in two weeks.
Yesterday they announced that they had stopped the epidemic. They appear in videos celebrating, they announce that they even have a vaccine. How could they create it so quickly without having all the genetic information? Well if you are the owner of the formula it is not difficult at all.
And today I just saw a video that explains how Den Xiao Ping gave the west a half stick. Due to the coronavirus, the actions of Western companies in China fell dramatically. China I just hope, when they went down enough they bought them. Now the companies, Created by the USA and Europe in China with all the technology put in by these exchanges and their capital they passed into the hands of China, which is now rising with all that technological potential and will be able to set prices at will to sell everything they need to the West. How are you?
None of this could have happened by chance. China who cared that a few old men died? Fewer old-age pensions to pay, but the loot has been huge. And right now the West is financially defeated, in crisis and stunned by the disease. And without knowing what to do.
Masterfully diabolic. It had to be the communists. |
Adding to this, they are now the single largest owners of US treasury with 1.18 trillion holding surpassing Japan.
An instrument that has seen the most rally
One prospective & Analogy
How come Russia & North Korea have Low or Zero incidence of Covid- 19 ?
Is it because they are staunch allies of China
On the other hand USA / South Korea / United Kingdom / France / Italy / Spain and Asia are severely hit
How come Wuhan is suddenly free from the deadly virus?
China says that the drastic initial measures that they took were very stern and Wuhan was locked down to contain the spread to other areas
Why Beijing was not hit ? Why only Wuhan?
It is interesting to ponder upon.. right ?
Well ..Wuhan is open for business now
Covid – 19 needs to be seen in the backdrop of the arm twisting of China by USA in the trade war
America and all the above mentioned countries are devastated financially
Soon American economy will collapse as planned by China.
China knows it CANNOT defeat America militarily as USA is at present THE MOST POWERFUL country in the world.
So use the virus…to cripple the economy and paralyse the nation and its Defense capabilities.
I am sure Nancy Pelosi got a part in this…. to topple Trump….
Lately President Trump has always been telling of how the GREAT American economy was improving on all fronts and jobs were coming back to the USA
The only way to destroy his vision of making AMERICA GREAT AGAIN is to create an ECONOMIC HAVOC.
Nancy Pelosi was unable to bring down Trump through impeachment…..so work along with China to destroy Trump by releasing a virus.
Wuhan’s epidemic was a showcase.
At the peak of the virus epidemic….China’s President Xi Jinping…just wore a simple RM1 facemask to visit those effected areas.
As President he should have been covered from head to toe…..but that was not the case.
He was already injected to resist any harm from the virus….that means a cure was already in place before the virus was released
China’s vision is to control the World ECONOMY by buying up stocks now from countries facing the brink of severe ECONOMIC COLLAPSE…..Later China will announce that their Medical Researchers have found a cure to destroy the virus
Now China shall OWN the stocks of All Western Alliances and these countries will soon be slave to their NEW MASTER….. CHINA